Dear Subscriber,
We’re at the 100-day mark of the Trump administration, and many of you have barely had a moment to breathe. Economic uncertainty, threats to federal funding that supports nonprofits — and the causes that many foundations seek to advance — attacks on DEI efforts, and challenges to tax-exempt status are just a few of the issues keeping leaders up at night. It’s been nothing short of chaos.
In the new May issue, we try to make sense of that chaos. Here’s a preview:
Drew Lindsay takes a look at how donors responded to the four most recent economic downturns and what that might mean for charitable giving if we’re heading toward a recession. Drew finds that one thing is sure: Uncertainty dampens giving. “People will postpone their decisions and wait to resolve the uncertainty,” says Una Osili, associate dean for research and international programs at the Indiana University Lilly Family School of Philanthropy. And a long, deep downturn could reduce the number of charitable donors over the long run. However, foundation grant making is likely to go up in 2025, and donor-advised funds could increase grant making during a recession. When the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell almost 34 percent from 2007 to 2008 during the Great Recession, for example, DAF grant making grew 14 percent.
Ben Gose drills down on the effects of tariffs on charities. Organizations could be hit on two fronts: Their costs will likely rise, and their donors, stung by the tariff-induced stock-market volatility, may become less generous. Meanwhile, demand for services is on the rise. Take Center of Grace, a charity in the Kansas City area that provides clothing, hygiene items, and medical equipment to people in need. The charity is serving an increasing number of undocumented immigrants. Jessica Ferrell, the organization’s director of operations, said the immigrants are more comfortable seeking help from Center of Grace in the current political environment, given the more stringent requirements being enforced by programs that rely on federal support. But tariffs on Chinese imports could lead to increases in the cost of shoes and other clothing, forcing the group to make some tough decisions.
Eden Stiffman dives into the work of Diane Yentel, CEO of the National Council of Nonprofits. Barely four months into the job, she has taken part in two lawsuits against the Trump administration. NCN joined a suit against the White House to halt the funding freeze and then a another against the administration’s attempted federal funding cuts to nonprofits working to combat climate change, improve infrastructure, and protect public health. In mid-April, a federal judge ordered the administration to release billions of dollars in payouts. “We’ll either end the year somewhere on a spectrum of harm — from somewhat harmed to really potentially decimated — or we’ll end it strengthened by responding in this moment,” says Yentel.
Rasheeda Childress speaks with experts to identify six ways nonprofit leaders can boost morale in chaotic times. Among the insights: communicate clearly and empathetically, give staff space to grieve and express concerns, and celebrate wins. “We’ve seen very much an evolution in nonprofit leadership over the last few years,” says Ian Adair, CEO of the Seattle Police Foundation. “I think leadership today is more about taking care of the people responsible for the work, and not just the work itself.”